AS

Predictive Risk & Early Warning

Forward-looking forecasts surface students whose trajectory will push them into a worse risk band before it happens.

In scope
167
Will escalate
33
Watchlist
33
Rising trend
27
Falling trend
21
Headed to severe
7
Forecast cohort
7/14/30 school-day projections derived from each student's last 20 days of attendance.
StudentCurrentΔ vs prior wkTrend (20d)+7d+14d+30dDriversOpen
Oscar Rodriguez
Gr 12 · #1000023
Chronic
13.3%
no change
rising
Chronic
13.4% · +1
Chronic
14.4% · +3
Severe
20.0% · +12
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Jose Harris
Gr 9 · #1000044
Watch
5.6%
+2
rising
Watch
6.2% · +1
Watch
7.7% · +3
Chronic
14.2% · +12
+2 absences vs prior week
Rising 20-day trend
Projected chronic within 30 days
Kevin Cooper
Gr 10 · #1000037
Chronic
14.4%
no change
rising
High Chronic
15.5% · +2
High Chronic
16.3% · +4
Severe
21.7% · +13
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Eva Miller
Gr 12 · #1000027
Excellent
3.3%
+1
rising
Excellent
4.1% · +1
Excellent
4.8% · +2
Early Risk
9.2% · +8
Rising 20-day trend
Projected early within 30 days
Camila Guzman
Gr 11 · #1000130
Excellent
3.3%
+1
rising
Excellent
4.1% · +1
Excellent
4.8% · +2
Early Risk
9.2% · +8
Rising 20-day trend
Projected early within 30 days
Aaliyah Patel
Gr 11 · #1000146
Watch
6.7%
+1
rising
Watch
7.2% · +1
Watch
7.7% · +2
Chronic
11.7% · +8
Rising 20-day trend
Projected chronic within 30 days
Naomi Quintero
Gr 9 · #1000148
Excellent
3.3%
+1
rising
Excellent
4.1% · +1
Excellent
4.8% · +2
Early Risk
9.2% · +8
Rising 20-day trend
Projected early within 30 days
Mohammed Wilson
Gr 10 · #1000025
Watch
5.6%
no change
rising
Watch
6.2% · +1
Watch
7.7% · +3
Chronic
11.7% · +9
Rising 20-day trend
Projected chronic within 30 days
Asher Serrano
Gr 11 · #1000134
Watch
6.7%
+1
flat
Watch
7.2% · +1
Watch
7.7% · +2
Chronic
10.8% · +7
Projected chronic within 30 days
Victoria Hall
Gr 12 · #1000051
Watch
6.7%
no change
flat
Watch
7.2% · +1
Early Risk
8.7% · +3
Chronic
11.7% · +8
Projected chronic within 30 days
Jorge Young
Gr 10 · #1000001
Watch
7.8%
+1
flat
Early Risk
8.2% · +1
Early Risk
8.7% · +2
Chronic
10.8% · +6
Projected chronic within 30 days
Shawn Molina
Gr 10 · #1000101
Watch
6.7%
no change
flat
Watch
7.2% · +1
Watch
7.7% · +2
Chronic
10.0% · +6
Projected chronic within 30 days
Jordan Lewis
Gr 9 · #1000024
High Chronic
15.6%
no change
rising
High Chronic
16.5% · +2
High Chronic
19.2% · +6
Severe
28.3% · +20
Rising 20-day trend
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Selena Parker
Gr 9 · #1000104
High Chronic
17.8%
+3
rising
High Chronic
18.6% · +2
Severe
21.2% · +6
Severe
29.2% · +19
+3 absences vs prior week
Rising 20-day trend
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Eric Quintero
Gr 9 · #1000064
High Chronic
17.8%
+1
rising
High Chronic
18.6% · +2
Severe
20.2% · +5
Severe
27.5% · +17
Rising 20-day trend
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Dominic Trujillo
Gr 11 · #1000074
Chronic
11.1%
+2
rising
Chronic
11.3% · +1
Chronic
13.5% · +4
High Chronic
18.3% · +12
+2 absences vs prior week
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Victor Perez
Gr 12 · #1000111
Chronic
12.2%
+2
rising
Chronic
12.4% · +1
Chronic
14.4% · +4
High Chronic
19.2% · +12
+2 absences vs prior week
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Julia Hall
Gr 10 · #1000073
Chronic
10.0%
no change
rising
Chronic
10.3% · +1
Chronic
11.5% · +3
High Chronic
15.0% · +9
Rising 20-day trend
Projected high within 30 days
Anthony Ramirez
Gr 11 · #1000500
Chronic
12.2%
+1
rising
Chronic
12.4% · +1
Chronic
12.5% · +2
High Chronic
15.0% · +7
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Bella Patel
Gr 9 · #1000509
Early Risk
8.9%
+1
rising
Early Risk
9.3% · +1
Early Risk
9.6% · +2
Chronic
12.5% · +7
Rising 20-day trend
Projected chronic within 30 days
Jesus Rivera
Gr 11 · #1000106
Chronic
11.1%
-2
rising
Chronic
11.3% · +1
Chronic
12.5% · +3
High Chronic
15.0% · +8
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Daniel Johnson
Gr 10 · #1000505
Chronic
12.2%
+1
rising
Chronic
12.4% · +1
Chronic
13.5% · +3
High Chronic
15.8% · +8
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Benjamin Davis
Gr 12 · #1000055
Chronic
11.1%
+1
rising
Chronic
11.3% · +1
Chronic
12.5% · +3
High Chronic
16.7% · +10
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Mohammed King
Gr 9 · #1000092
Chronic
12.2%
no change
rising
Chronic
13.4% · +2
Chronic
14.4% · +4
High Chronic
18.3% · +11
Rising 20-day trend
Mon/Fri pattern
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected high within 30 days
Brianna Marquez
Gr 12 · #1000123
Watch
5.6%
+1
flat
Watch
6.2% · +1
Watch
6.7% · +2
Early Risk
9.2% · +6
Projected early within 30 days
Selena Marshall
Gr 9 · #1000072
Excellent
2.2%
-2
flat
Excellent
3.1% · +1
Excellent
3.8% · +2
Watch
7.5% · +7
Projected watch within 30 days
Liliana Morris
Gr 12 · #1000039
High Chronic
16.7%
-2
flat
High Chronic
17.5% · +2
High Chronic
18.3% · +4
Severe
20.0% · +9
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Khloe Cruz
Gr 11 · #1000054
Watch
6.7%
-1
flat
Watch
6.2% · +0
Watch
6.7% · +1
Early Risk
8.3% · +4
Projected early within 30 days
Zara Aguilar
Gr 11 · #1000078
High Chronic
18.9%
+2
flat
High Chronic
18.6% · +1
High Chronic
19.2% · +3
Severe
20.0% · +7
+2 absences vs prior week
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected severe within 30 days
Luis Hall
Gr 11 · #1000098
Excellent
4.4%
-1
flat
Excellent
4.1% · +0
Excellent
4.8% · +1
Watch
6.7% · +4
Projected watch within 30 days
Kevin Garcia
Gr 11 · #1000512
Watch
7.8%
-1
flat
Watch
7.2% · +0
Watch
7.7% · +1
Early Risk
9.2% · +4
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected early within 30 days
Destiny Thompson
Gr 12 · #1000035
Early Risk
8.9%
-1
flat
Early Risk
9.3% · +1
Early Risk
9.6% · +2
Chronic
10.0% · +4
Snapshot trend worsening
Projected chronic within 30 days
Lorenzo Foster
Gr 11 · #1000126
Watch
7.8%
+1
flat
Early Risk
8.2% · +1
Early Risk
8.7% · +2
Early Risk
9.2% · +4
Projected early within 30 days